McKinney, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

023
FXUS64 KFWD 210930
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
330 AM CST Thu Nov 21 2024

...New Long Term...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cooler weather is expected through the end of the week.

- Above normal temperatures return this weekend with dry weather
  expected.

- Our next chance of rain arrives next Wednesday, but it`s too
  soon to know specific details about Thanksgiving Day itself.

&&

.SHORT TERM... /Issued 1214 AM CST Thu Nov 21 2024/
/Through Friday Afternoon/

Surface high pressure has settled across the Texas Hill Country
leading to calm winds and clear skies. This should lead to
continued efficient radiational cooling with early morning
temperatures in the mid 30s to lower 40s. Areas that are typically
cooler such as valleys or low spots may temporarily drop into the
lower 30s, however, most locations should remain above freezing.

Given the dry air atop our region and westerly to southwesterly
winds in place, temperatures tomorrow will range between the mid
60s along the Red River to lower 70s in Central Texas.

A backdoor cold front will arrive late this afternoon, returning
northerly winds to all of North and Central Texas. This front will
ensure that the northeastern counties experience overnight
temperatures in the mid 30s once again. The rest of the region is
likely to be in the upper 30s to lower 40s tonight.

Similar to today, tomorrow will once again feature temperatures
in the lower 60s along the Red River and lower 70s across Central
Texas. Winds will return out of the south by the afternoon with
clear skies continuing.

Hernandez

&&

.LONG TERM... /NEW/
/Friday Night Through Mid Next Week/

After a few days of below to near seasonal temperatures, a
warming trend will take place over the weekend. Daytime highs
will easily reach the upper 70s to low 80s by Sunday. Dry weather
will also continue, but another system is forecast to arrive
early next week. Not only this will this bring cooler weather,
but also bring low rain chances for portions of the region during
the mid-late week period.

The forecast for the weekend remains on track with a weakening
ridge/zonal flow aloft and a surface high pressure to our east.
Southerly winds will become established Friday night into
Saturday, with breezy conditions on Sunday. With that in mind, it
will be a good idea to secure any outdoor decorations given the
wind gusts could reach 25-30 mph during the day.

The next cold front is expected to arrive on Monday, bringing us
back to more seasonal temperatures. Daytime highs on Tuesday are
forecast to stay in the 60s across North TX and upper 60s to low
70s in Central TX. This front will be dry, but rain chances are
still looking to return on Wednesday for some of our eastern
counties. A little over half of the guidance is showing a large
scale trough over the central U.S during the mid-late week period
along with a another strong cold front moving south. While this
could represent cooler weather on Thanksgiving Day, uncertainty
remains high on the potential for rain in some locations. The
good news is that this scenario also keeps the most widespread
activity to our east. Keep checking back for updates!

Sanchez

&&

.AVIATION... /Issued 1214 AM CST Thu Nov 21 2024/
/06Z TAFs/

Continued tranquil conditions are expected at all TAF sites with
VFR skies and light westerly winds. Winds will remain out of the
west/northwest through tomorrow evening before a cold front makes
it way across the region. For the D10 airspace, the cold front
will arrive around 03Z Friday, and 06Z at KACT. Behind the front,
northerly winds will return, generally under 10 knots.

Hernandez

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    67  43  65  45  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                71  40  69  42  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               64  37  60  37  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
Denton              67  37  64  40  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            67  37  62  40  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              68  42  65  44  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             68  38  62  40  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           70  41  67  43  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              73  40  72  42  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       69  37  68  41  77 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$